Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 406.533273 462.437415 524.706029 599.470528 687.147213 787.123432 910.346394
2025-10-19 324.050284 397.024015 485.822725 602.903206 754.802961 947.406402 1213.627870
2025-10-26 270.733818 347.887692 447.323227 586.852087 780.789626 1045.666852 1443.372517
2025-11-02 235.222822 313.776256 419.726051 576.045192 805.956963 1140.117059 1678.712293
2025-11-09 216.564851 298.701798 414.112462 592.373253 868.671774 1294.533774 2029.493587
2025-11-16 196.678135 278.910690 398.479902 590.475982 901.781626 1406.837461 2333.167540
2025-11-23 178.917270 259.918138 381.272049 582.933566 923.356653 1501.931442 2624.417916
2025-11-30 166.418483 247.321971 372.014868 586.143219 961.996527 1630.599444 3002.535105
2025-12-07 152.692346 231.356592 355.572061 575.011628 973.518274 1711.540491 3303.988771
2025-12-14 142.089623 219.297030 344.071714 570.609368 995.870224 1815.308477 3674.595599
2025-12-21 129.315606 202.567536 323.190078 547.122162 979.097517 1839.341917 3875.589818
2025-12-28 125.321474 200.026482 326.000555 566.618141 1047.362131 2046.692868 4548.264246
2026-01-04 122.223596 198.875461 331.341440 591.964923 1132.257593 2307.870487 5434.578624
2026-01-11 115.965506 191.720182 325.327616 594.793321 1171.111021 2475.065278 6130.769238
2026-01-18 107.773966 180.471036 310.807423 579.018204 1167.478291 2542.599642 6571.991447
2026-01-25 101.047189 171.349514 299.450619 568.380328 1173.668940 2634.971347 7114.813119
2026-02-01 98.212673 169.117235 300.900992 584.451483 1243.188513 2899.883699 8279.534382
2026-02-08 93.496471 163.012093 294.315130 582.584133 1270.043560 3059.009248 9158.707276
2026-02-15 88.557541 156.131379 285.629355 575.160497 1282.270016 3180.960647 9955.711426
2026-02-22 85.125696 151.897433 281.881381 578.319637 1321.453242 3387.315845 11144.281197
2026-03-01 80.538451 145.104648 272.389958 567.363020 1322.700948 3483.143105 11946.924411
2026-03-08 76.927320 140.006818 266.020119 563.029790 1340.948073 3634.912661 13045.456836
2026-03-15 71.847331 131.673492 252.284109 539.909252 1305.175766 3610.617224 13382.256584